Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Northwestern @ Tulane NU @ TULN

NORTHWESTERN

NORTHWESTERNNU

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 12:00 PM ET
Yulman Stadium
View Odds Details →

TULANE

TULANETULN

0-0  |  Home

23
Key Game
Brendan Flakes
KEY GAME

Brendan Flakes

#15 | Defensive Lineman
@
Kevin Adams III
KEY GAME

Kevin Adams III

#7 | Safety
Player
Brendan Flakes None-None
Kevin Adams III None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NORTHWESTERN
100%
📊
TULANE
0%
NORTHWESTERN --
TULANE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.4
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.4 points (Tulane)
NorthwesternNU (-3.5) 0 TulaneTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Northwestern Cover

13.5%

Tulane Cover

86.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TULN -15.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

NU By 1-6 points

6.9%

NU By 7-13 points

3.9%

TULN By 1-6 points

11.9%

TULN By 7-13 points

18.3%

AI Model Projected Score
12.62
NORTHWESTERN
28.04
TULANE
Simulated Score
24
NORTHWESTERN
28
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tulane Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Tulane Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tulane (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.4
C
Sim Tulane (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 40.7
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 NU @ TULN 3 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +67.9% more
Tulane: 130.5 vs Northwestern: 77.7
Turnovers (L5) +10.8% more
Northwestern: 2.3 vs Tulane: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NU Score 12.6 3
TULN Score 28.0 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.5 / 17.9 23.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 130.5 / 77.7 269.0 / 76.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 322.2 / 301.3 421.0 / 237.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 2.3 0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NU Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 16.3 ATS +/-: +17.8
TULN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 16.3 ATS +/-: +17.8
TULN
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NU
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +1.5
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
NU
TULN
NU
ML
100% 4-0
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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