Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / FAU @ Maryland FAU @ MD

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

FAUFAU

0-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 12:00 PM ET
SECU Stadium
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND

MARYLANDMD

0-0  |  Home

39
Key Game
Deshaun Batiste
KEY GAME

Deshaun Batiste

#5 | Defensive Back
@
Bryce McFerson
KEY GAME

Bryce McFerson

#34 | Punter
Player
Deshaun Batiste None-None
Bryce McFerson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FAU
0%
📊
MARYLAND
100%
FAU --
MARYLAND --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.4
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.4 points (Florida Atlantic)
FAUFAU (-3.5) 0 MarylandMD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

FAU Cover

72.6%

Maryland Cover

27.4%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around FAU -8.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)

FAU By 1-6 points

16.0%

FAU By 7-13 points

19.6%

MD By 1-6 points

11.9%

MD By 7-13 points

8.5%

AI Model Projected Score
22.92
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
14.53
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
17
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
31
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI FAU Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Maryland Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI FAU (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.4
C
Sim Maryland (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.5
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 FAU @ MD 7 - 39
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +63.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 250.6 vs Maryland: 90.6
Total Yards (L5) +39.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 488.4 vs Maryland: 293.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 0.5 vs Maryland: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +14.0% more
Florida Atlantic: 20.5 vs Maryland: 17.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAU Score 22.9 7
MD Score 14.5 39
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.6 / 20.5 22.0 / 23.0
Rushing Yards 90.6 / 250.6 112.0 / 77.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.29 / 0.35
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 293.5 / 488.4 380.0 / 354.0
Turnovers 2.3 / 1.7 0.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
MD
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -7.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
MD
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -7.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +3.3
MD
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
FAU
MD
FAU
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
ATS
0% 0-5
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
20% 1-4
TTL
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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