Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / SE Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech SELA @ LT

SE LOUISIANA

SE LOUISIANASELA

0-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 7:30 PM ET
Joe Aillet Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

0-0  |  Home

24
Key Game
Mike Mitchell
KEY GAME

Mike Mitchell

#20 | Defensive Back
@
Sam Fongang
KEY GAME

Sam Fongang

#1 | Defensive Back
Player
Mike Mitchell None-None
Sam Fongang None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SE LOUISIANA
50%
📊
LOUISIANA TECH
50%
SE LOUISIANA --
LOUISIANA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Louisiana Tech)
SE LouisianaSELA (-3.5) 0 Louisiana TechLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

SE Louisiana Cover

43.6%

Louisiana Tech Cover

56.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LT -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

SELA By 1-6 points

15.6%

SELA By 7-13 points

13.6%

LT By 1-6 points

16.9%

LT By 7-13 points

17.0%

AI Model Projected Score
14
SE LOUISIANA
16.25
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
17
SE LOUISIANA
38
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Louisiana Tech Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Louisiana Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Louisiana Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.3
D
Sim Louisiana Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 30.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 SELA @ LT 0 - 24
Sep 11, 2021 SELA @ LT 42 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +22.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 111.2 vs SE Louisiana: 91.1
First Downs (L5) +8.4% more
Louisiana Tech: 18.1 vs SE Louisiana: 16.7
Turnovers (L5) +43.7% more
SE Louisiana: 1.9 vs Louisiana Tech: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SELA Score 14.0 0
LT Score 16.3 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.1 / 16.7 14.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 111.2 / 91.1 136.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.3 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 302.3 / 283.3 262.0 / 271.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.9 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
--
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
--
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
--
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
SELA
LT
SELA
ML
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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