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DELAWARE STATE

DELAWARE STDSU

0-0  |  Road

17
FINAL
Thu, Aug 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Delaware Stadium
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

DELAWAREDEL

0-0  |  Home

35
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Patrick Fisher-Butler

#46 | Place kicker
@
Dominick Brogna
KEY GAME

Dominick Brogna

#52 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Patrick Fisher-Butler None-None
Dominick Brogna None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DELAWARE ST
50%
📊
DELAWARE
50%
DELAWARE ST --
DELAWARE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
23.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.9
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.9 points (Delaware)
Delaware StDSU (-3.5) 0 DelawareDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delaware St Cover

14.4%

Delaware Cover

85.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DEL -14.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

DSU By 1-6 points

7.3%

DSU By 7-13 points

4.2%

DEL By 1-6 points

12.2%

DEL By 7-13 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.22
DELAWARE STATE
19.11
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
13
DELAWARE STATE
38
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -14.9
D
Sim Delaware (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 23
Proj Total: 23.3
D
Sim o0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2025 DSU @ DEL 17 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +24.5% more
Delaware State: 249.3 vs Delaware: 188.3
Time of Possession (L5) +12.0% more
Delaware State: 0.5 vs Delaware: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +11.0% more
Delaware State: 11.8 vs Delaware: 10.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
Delaware State: 0.3 vs Delaware: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 4.2 17
DEL Score 19.1 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 10.5 / 11.8 26.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 82.3 / 86.2 137.0 / 200.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.2 / 0.3 0.62 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 188.3 / 249.3 428.0 / 349.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.2 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
--
DEL Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
--
DEL Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
--
DEL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
DSU
DEL
DSU
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
TTL
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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