Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Miami OH @ Wisconsin M-OH @ WIS

MIAMI (OH)

MIAMI OHM-OH

0-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Aug 28 • 9:00 PM ET
Camp Randall Stadium
View Odds Details →

WISCONSIN

WISCONSINWIS

0-0  |  Home

17
Key Game
Devin Bell
KEY GAME

Devin Bell

#5 | Defensive Lineman
@
Tyreese Fearbry
KEY GAME

Tyreese Fearbry

#7 | Linebacker
Player
Devin Bell None-None
Tyreese Fearbry None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MIAMI OH
0%
📊
WISCONSIN
100%
MIAMI OH --
WISCONSIN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
39.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Miami (OH))
Miami OHM-OH (-3.5) 0 WisconsinWIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miami OH Cover

82.1%

Wisconsin Cover

17.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around M-OH -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

M-OH By 1-6 points

13.6%

M-OH By 7-13 points

19.3%

WIS By 1-6 points

8.6%

WIS By 7-13 points

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
25.96
MIAMI (OH)
13.07
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
17
MIAMI (OH)
34
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Miami OH Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Wisconsin Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Miami OH (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.9
C
Sim Wisconsin (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 39.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2025 M-OH @ WIS 0 - 17
Sep 12, 2015 M-OH @ WIS 0 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.4% more
Miami (OH): 151.3 vs Wisconsin: 102.3
Turnovers (L5) +27.2% more
Miami (OH): 1.5 vs Wisconsin: 1.1
Total Yards (L5) +18.3% more
Miami (OH): 344.1 vs Wisconsin: 281.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +11.0% more
Miami (OH): 0.4 vs Wisconsin: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 26.0 0
WIS Score 13.1 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.0 / 16.0 23.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 102.3 / 151.3 165.0 / 34.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.65 / 0.35
Total Yards 281.1 / 344.1 353.0 / 117.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.5 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
WIS Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 15.0 ATS +/-: +6.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
WIS Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 15.0 ATS +/-: +6.2
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +8.1
WIS
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
M-OH
WIS
M-OH
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
TTL
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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