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PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

1-1  |  Road

19
FINAL
Fri, Aug 22 • 7:30 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

JETSNYJ

1-1  |  Home

17
Key Game
Jake Elliott
KEY GAME

Jake Elliott

#4 | Place kicker
@
Austin McNamara
KEY GAME

Austin McNamara

#14 | Punter
Player
Jake Elliott None-None
Austin McNamara None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
50%
📊
JETS
50%
EAGLES --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 JetsNYJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

55.8%

Jets Cover

44.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.9%

PHI By 7-13 points

16.9%

NYJ By 1-6 points

15.7%

NYJ By 7-13 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
28.82
PHILADELPHIA
26.76
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
17
PHILADELPHIA
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 55.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 22, 2025 PHI @ NYJ 19 - 17
Oct 15, 2023 PHI @ NYJ 14 - 20
Dec 5, 2021 PHI @ NYJ 33 - 18
Oct 6, 2019 NYJ @ PHI 6 - 31
Sep 27, 2015 PHI @ NYJ 24 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +52.4% more
Philadelphia: 206.8 vs New York: 98.4
Total Yards (L5) +15.6% more
Philadelphia: 375.0 vs New York: 316.5
First Downs (L5) +10.9% more
Philadelphia: 21.5 vs New York: 19.1
Yards Per Play (L5) +8.1% more
Philadelphia: 5.9 vs New York: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 28.8 19
NYJ Score 26.8 17
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
NYJ
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
NYJ Advantage
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYJ
PHI
NYJ
PHI
ML
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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