CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
44-79 | Road
2
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
62-61 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Lucas Erceg
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 4.68 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Lucas Erceg | None-None | 2.42 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.68
ERA
Ldr 2.42
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
35%
ROYALS
65%
WHITE SOX
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.7%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.28
CHICAGO
Kansas City
5.25
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
CHW @ KC
9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026
CHW @ KC
4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026
CHW @ KC
14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026
KC @ CHW
5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
KC @ CHW
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Kansas City
KC
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826
▲
OPS
.718
1
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16900.0% more
Kansas City: 170.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+88.0% more
Kansas City: 1.5
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+58.9% more
Kansas City: 15.8
vs
Chicago: 9.9
Hits (L5)
+29.7% more
Kansas City: 9.3
vs
Chicago: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.3
2
KC Score
5.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.3 / 7.2
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.8 / 9.1
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.8 / 9.9
16.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.9
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
CHW
KC
CHW
ML
55%
89-72
49%
81-86
56%
90-70
56%
94-73
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
99-68
58%
93-67
56%
93-74
TTL
58%
90-64-7
58%
96-69-2
54%
83-70-7
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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