Home / NFL Projections NFL / Chargers @ Rams LAC @ LAR

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

2-0  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 7:00 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

1-0  |  Home

23
Key Game
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
JK Scott None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
50%
📊
RAMS
50%
CHARGERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (Los Angeles)
ChargersLAC (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

67.0%

Rams Cover

33.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAC -6.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-6 points

16.7%

LAC By 7-13 points

19.0%

LAR By 1-6 points

13.4%

LAR By 7-13 points

10.3%

AI Model Projected Score
27.82
LOS ANGELES
21.66
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
LOS ANGELES
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chargers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chargers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.2
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 49.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 27, 2026 LAR @ LAC 20 - 18
Aug 16, 2025 LAC @ LAR 22 - 23
Jan 1, 2023 LAR @ LAC 10 - 31
Sep 23, 2018 LAC @ LAR 23 - 35
Nov 23, 2014 LAR @ LAC 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +26.2% more
Los Angeles: 23.4 vs Los Angeles: 17.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +17.9% more
Los Angeles: 268.9 vs Los Angeles: 220.8
Total Yards (L5) +17.7% more
Los Angeles: 386.3 vs Los Angeles: 318.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +17.3% more
Los Angeles: 117.4 vs Los Angeles: 97.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 27.8 22
LAR Score 21.7 23
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.0
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
LAC
LAR
LAC
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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