Home / NFL Projections NFL / Ravens @ Cowboys BAL @ DAL

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

1-0  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Aug 16 • 7:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

0-1  |  Home

13
Key Game
Tyler Loop
KEY GAME

Tyler Loop

#33 | Place kicker
@
Bryan Anger
KEY GAME

Bryan Anger

#5 | Punter
Player
Tyler Loop None-None
Bryan Anger None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
50%
📊
COWBOYS
50%
RAVENS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Baltimore)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 CowboysDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

64.3%

Cowboys Cover

35.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BAL -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

BAL By 1-6 points

16.9%

BAL By 7-13 points

18.6%

DAL By 1-6 points

14.1%

DAL By 7-13 points

11.1%

AI Model Projected Score
29.48
BALTIMORE
24.34
DALLAS
Simulated Score
20
BALTIMORE
24
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ravens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ravens (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 53.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 BAL @ DAL 34 - 31
Aug 16, 2025 BAL @ DAL 31 - 13
Sep 22, 2024 BAL @ DAL 28 - 25
Dec 8, 2020 DAL @ BAL 17 - 34
Nov 20, 2016 BAL @ DAL 17 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +52.0% more
Baltimore: 240.1 vs Dallas: 115.3
First Downs (L5) +27.9% more
Baltimore: 24.7 vs Dallas: 17.8
Total Yards (L5) +27.8% more
Baltimore: 436.7 vs Dallas: 315.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +22.4% more
Baltimore: 6.6 vs Dallas: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 29.5 31
DAL Score 24.3 13
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
DAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
BAL
DAL
BAL
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1-1
33% 1-2-1
100% 3-0-1
100% 3-0-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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