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TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

0-1  |  Road

23
FINAL
Fri, Aug 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

FALCONSATL

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20
Key Game
Joey Slye
KEY GAME

Joey Slye

#6 | Place kicker
@
Bralen Trice
KEY GAME

Bralen Trice

#48 | Linebacker
Player
Joey Slye None-None
Bralen Trice None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
50%
📊
FALCONS
50%
TITANS --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.1
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.1 points (Tennessee)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 FalconsATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

69.4%

Falcons Cover

30.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TEN -7.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEN)

TEN By 1-6 points

16.4%

TEN By 7-13 points

19.3%

ATL By 1-6 points

12.8%

ATL By 7-13 points

9.5%

AI Model Projected Score
25.89
TENNESSEE
18.79
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
20
TENNESSEE
23
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Titans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Falcons Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Titans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.1
D
Sim Falcons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 43.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 15, 2025 TEN @ ATL 23 - 20
Oct 29, 2023 ATL @ TEN 23 - 28
Sep 29, 2019 TEN @ ATL 24 - 10
Oct 25, 2015 ATL @ TEN 10 - 7
Nov 20, 2011 TEN @ ATL 17 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.1% more
Tennessee: 2.3 vs Atlanta: 1.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
Tennessee: 0.5 vs Atlanta: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.7% more
Atlanta: 133.0 vs Tennessee: 109.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 25.9 23
ATL Score 18.8 20
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
ATL Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
ATL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
TEN
ATL
TEN
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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