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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

56-61  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Aug 10 • 1:40 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

67-51  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Mike Trout
STARTING PITCHER

Mike Trout

#27 | Center Field
@
Javier Baez
STARTING PITCHER

Javier Baez

#28 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mike Trout None-None -- -- -- --
Javier Baez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
41%
📊
TIGERS
59%
ANGELS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

39.7%

Tigers Cover

60.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.5%

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.87
LOS ANGELES
4.91
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 3
Jul 18, 2026 DET @ LAA 7 - 0
Jul 17, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 1
May 28, 2026 LAA @ DET 7 - 1
May 27, 2026 LAA @ DET 0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.679
OPS
▲ .720
154
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17.5% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +10.4% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Hits (L5) +8.7% more
Detroit: 8.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.9
OPS (Season) +4.1%
Detroit: 72.0% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.9 5
DET Score 4.9 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.2 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.5 / 7.9 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 2.1 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 11.0 7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 15.9 17.0 / 15.0
Walks 2.5 / 3.2 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAA
DET
LAA
ML
54% 86-73
59% 96-66
54% 87-73
55% 89-73
ATS
64% 101-58
60% 97-65
57% 91-69
51% 82-80
TTL
46% 69-81-9
53% 83-74-5
46% 69-81-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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