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TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

68-50  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Aug 10 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

68-49  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Mason Fluharty
STARTING PITCHER

Mason Fluharty

#68 | Relief Pitcher
@
Alex Vesia
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Vesia

#51 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mason Fluharty None-None 5.15 -- 0.2 1
Alex Vesia None-None 2.61 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
5.15 ERA Ldr 2.61
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
49%
📊
DODGERS
51%
BLUE JAYS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Los Angeles)
Blue JaysTOR (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jays Cover

21.0%

Dodgers Cover

79.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

TOR By 1-2 runs

10.0%

TOR By 3-4 runs

5.0%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.0%

LAD By 3-4 runs

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.56
TORONTO
7.78
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
TORONTO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.2
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 LAD @ TOR 3 - 4
Apr 7, 2026 LAD @ TOR 4 - 1
Apr 6, 2026 LAD @ TOR 14 - 2
Nov 1, 2025 LAD @ TOR 5 - 4
Oct 31, 2025 LAD @ TOR 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto TOR
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.692
OPS
▲ .762
152
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +34.6% more
Los Angeles: 10.8 vs Toronto: 8.0
Home Runs (Season) +34.2% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Toronto: 152.0
Runs per Game (Season) +23.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Toronto: 4.0
OPS (Season) +7.0%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Toronto: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 4.6 5
LAD Score 7.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.0 / 11.6 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 1.9 2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 10.8 / 8.0 14.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 15.6 / 20.4 17.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.0 / 4.0 4.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
TOR
LAD
TOR
ML
56% 92-73
46% 74-87
48% 79-87
50% 80-80
ATS
59% 98-67
56% 90-71
43% 72-94
49% 79-81
TTL
48% 77-82-6
51% 80-76-5
44% 70-90-6
45% 70-85-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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