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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

55-61  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Aug 9 • 6:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

67-50  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Tyler Holton None-None 3.88 -- 1.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.88
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
40%
📊
TIGERS
60%
ANGELS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 20%
Under 0 80%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Detroit)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

31.8%

Tigers Cover

68.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.9%

LAA By 3-4 runs

8.1%

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.12
LOS ANGELES
5.01
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
60% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 3
Jul 18, 2026 DET @ LAA 7 - 0
Jul 17, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 1
May 28, 2026 LAA @ DET 7 - 1
May 27, 2026 LAA @ DET 0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.679
OPS
▲ .720
154
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17.5% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +17.2% more
Detroit: 15.7 vs Los Angeles: 13.4
Home Runs (L5) +16.6% more
Detroit: 2.0 vs Los Angeles: 1.7
Hits (L5) +14.0% more
Detroit: 8.3 vs Los Angeles: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.1 7
DET Score 5.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.3 / 7.3 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 2.0 / 1.7 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.1 / 9.5 13.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 15.7 / 13.4 13.0 / 21.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.8 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAA
DET
LAA
ML
54% 86-73
59% 96-66
54% 87-73
55% 89-73
ATS
64% 101-58
60% 97-65
57% 91-69
51% 82-80
TTL
46% 69-81-9
53% 83-74-5
46% 69-81-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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