LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
55-60 | Road
5
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
66-50 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Finnegan
#67 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 4.64 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | None-None | 4.04 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.64
ERA
Ldr 4.04
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
41%
TIGERS
59%
ANGELS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.1%
DET By 3-4 runs
14.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.34
LOS ANGELES
Detroit
4.81
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
DET @ LAA
2 - 3
Jul 18, 2026
DET @ LAA
7 - 0
Jul 17, 2026
DET @ LAA
2 - 1
May 28, 2026
LAA @ DET
7 - 1
May 27, 2026
LAA @ DET
0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.679
OPS
▲
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+90.3% more
Detroit: 2.0
vs
Los Angeles: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+49.1% more
Detroit: 16.6
vs
Los Angeles: 11.1
Hits (L5)
+29.2% more
Detroit: 8.9
vs
Los Angeles: 6.9
Home Runs (Season)
+17.5% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.3
5
DET Score
4.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 6.9
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
2.0 / 1.0
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
5.7 / 9.8
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 11.1
14.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.6
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAA
DET
LAA
ML
54%
86-73
59%
96-66
54%
87-73
55%
89-73
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
97-65
57%
91-69
51%
82-80
TTL
46%
69-81-9
53%
83-74-5
46%
69-81-10
52%
82-75-5
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