SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
55-56 | Road
12
NEW YORK
METSNYM
63-48 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Carson Whisenhunt
#88 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Whisenhunt | None-None | 4.35 | -- | 5.1 | 4 |
| Luis Torrens | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.35
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
5.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
43%
METS
57%
GIANTS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
SF By 1-2 runs
14.9%
SF By 3-4 runs
9.1%
NYM By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYM By 3-4 runs
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
3.42
SAN FRANCISCO
New York
4.96
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Francisco
4
SAN FRANCISCO
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mets
Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mets (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
SF @ NYM
2 - 4
Sep 5, 2026
SF @ NYM
9 - 5
Sep 4, 2026
SF @ NYM
6 - 10
Apr 5, 2026
NYM @ SF
5 - 2
Apr 4, 2026
NYM @ SF
9 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.310
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.706
▲
OPS
.705
178
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+14.6% more
New York: 204.0
vs
San Francisco: 178.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+4.4% more
New York: 4.3
vs
San Francisco: 4.1
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.4%
New York: 31.0%
vs
San Francisco: 30.6%
Walks (L5)
+15.8% more
San Francisco: 4.4
vs
New York: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
3.4
12
NYM Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.5
8.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.9
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.4
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 14.2
13.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYM
Advantage
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
SF
NYM
SF
ML
50%
79-80
49%
79-81
48%
76-83
53%
85-75
ATS
58%
93-66
62%
100-60
49%
78-81
52%
83-77
TTL
55%
80-66-13
55%
82-68-10
51%
74-72-13
46%
68-81-11
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