PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
60-46 | Road
6
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
39-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jesus Luzardo
#44 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | None-None | 4.31 | -- | 7.0 | 4 |
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.31
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
7.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
4
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
69%
WHITE SOX
31%
PHILLIES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around PHI -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-2 runs
19.4%
PHI By 3-4 runs
18.9%
CHW By 1-2 runs
12.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
6.61
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
4.31
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phillies
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phillies (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 7, 2026
CHW @ PHI
5 - 9
Jun 6, 2026
CHW @ PHI
6 - 3
Jun 5, 2026
CHW @ PHI
6 - 8
Jul 30, 2025
PHI @ CHW
3 - 9
Jul 29, 2025
PHI @ CHW
6 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.724
OPS
▲
.826
3
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.6%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
Chicago: 41.2%
Runs per Game (Season)
+71.4% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Walks (L5)
+60.4% more
Chicago: 4.4
vs
Philadelphia: 2.8
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
Philadelphia: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
6.6
6
CHW Score
4.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.6
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
9.7 / 8.1
5.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.0 / 1.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.6 / 9.0
5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
16.9 / 15.1
8.0 / 19.0
Walks
4.4 / 2.8
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
PHI
CHW
PHI
ML
49%
81-86
59%
97-67
56%
94-73
49%
80-84
ATS
59%
99-68
65%
107-57
56%
93-74
51%
83-81
TTL
58%
96-69-2
57%
88-67-9
51%
84-81-2
51%
78-76-9
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