COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
27-78 | Road
8
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
52-53 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Goodman
#15 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Herrin
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Tim Herrin | None-None | 3.90 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.90
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
26%
GUARDIANS
74%
ROCKIES
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
COL By 1-2 runs
14.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
8.8%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.08
COLORADO
Cleveland
4.72
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Loss
74% Win Prob
B
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
CLE @ COL
7 - 2
Aug 22, 2026
CLE @ COL
4 - 3
Aug 21, 2026
CLE @ COL
9 - 1
Jul 30, 2025
COL @ CLE
0 - 5
Jul 29, 2025
COL @ CLE
4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.739
▲
OPS
.696
180
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.9% more
Cleveland: 6.9
vs
Colorado: 5.2
Walks (L5)
+20.7% more
Cleveland: 4.5
vs
Colorado: 3.8
Hits (L5)
+14.6% more
Cleveland: 7.5
vs
Colorado: 6.6
Total Bases (L5)
+12.1% more
Cleveland: 11.9
vs
Colorado: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.1
8
CLE Score
4.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.8
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.5 / 6.6
11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 5.2
4.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 10.6
14.0 / 19.0
Walks
4.5 / 3.8
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
COL
CLE
COL
ML
54%
87-74
60%
97-64
49%
80-82
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
52%
83-78
TTL
55%
88-71-2
60%
93-62-6
43%
69-90-2
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …