COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
27-77 | Road
1
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
46-58 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tomoyuki Sugano
#11 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Kittredge
#39 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano | None-None | 4.38 | -- | 6.0 | 8 |
| Andrew Kittredge | None-None | 3.68 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.38
ERA
Ldr 3.68
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
31%
ORIOLES
69%
ROCKIES
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
COL By 1-2 runs
11.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
5.7%
BAL By 1-2 runs
18.6%
BAL By 3-4 runs
19.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.39
COLORADO
Baltimore
5.26
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Baltimore
7
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orioles
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Orioles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.9
D
Sim
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
BAL @ COL
5 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
BAL @ COL
2 - 4
Aug 31, 2026
BAL @ COL
2 - 1
Jul 27, 2025
COL @ BAL
1 - 5
Jul 26, 2025
COL @ BAL
0 - 18
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.739
▲
OPS
.711
180
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+94.2% more
Baltimore: 2.4
vs
Colorado: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+84.0% more
Baltimore: 21.1
vs
Colorado: 11.5
Hits (L5)
+65.7% more
Baltimore: 11.4
vs
Colorado: 6.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+52.8% more
Baltimore: 8.1
vs
Colorado: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.4
1
BAL Score
5.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
11.4 / 6.9
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
2.4 / 1.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 5.3
12.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
21.1 / 11.5
9.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.6
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
COL
BAL
COL
ML
53%
83-73
60%
97-64
57%
90-69
55%
88-73
ATS
61%
95-60-1
60%
97-64
57%
90-68-1
52%
83-78
TTL
54%
81-70-5
60%
93-62-6
51%
78-75-6
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Yankees Fan Ejected After Interfering with Potential Game-Tying …
Orioles' Centerfield Crisis: Why Byron Buxton Could Be the Answer
!role~Preview!mt~photo!fmt~JPEG%20Baseline)
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
Padres and Brewers: A Friendly Rivalry Rooted in Shared History