COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
27-76 | Road
0
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
45-58 | Home
18
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Rogers
#28 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 6.98 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Trevor Rogers | None-None | 1.49 | -- | 7.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.98
ERA
Ldr 1.49
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
31%
ORIOLES
69%
ROCKIES
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
COL By 1-2 runs
17.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
12.3%
BAL By 1-2 runs
19.1%
BAL By 3-4 runs
14.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.39
COLORADO
Baltimore
3.83
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Baltimore
6
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orioles
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Orioles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
A
Sim
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
BAL @ COL
5 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
BAL @ COL
2 - 4
Aug 31, 2026
BAL @ COL
2 - 1
Jul 27, 2025
COL @ BAL
1 - 5
Jul 26, 2025
COL @ BAL
0 - 18
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.739
▲
OPS
.711
180
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+65.3% more
Baltimore: 4.1
vs
Colorado: 2.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+45.1% more
Baltimore: 8.7
vs
Colorado: 6.0
Errors (L5)
+13.0% more
Baltimore: 0.2
vs
Colorado: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+12.2% more
Baltimore: 2.0
vs
Colorado: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.4
0
BAL Score
3.8
18
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.0 / 9.3
18.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
2.0 / 1.8
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 6.0
7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
16.2 / 16.2
31.0 / 2.0
Walks
4.1 / 2.5
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
COL
BAL
COL
ML
53%
83-73
60%
97-64
57%
90-69
55%
88-73
ATS
61%
95-60-1
60%
97-64
57%
90-68-1
52%
83-78
TTL
54%
81-70-5
60%
93-62-6
51%
78-75-6
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
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