CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
60-42 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
37-66 | Home
12
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Shota Imanaga
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Colson Montgomery
#12 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga | None-None | 3.12 | -- | 3.0 | 2 |
| Colson Montgomery | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.12
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
3.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
72%
WHITE SOX
28%
CUBS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
18.5%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5.71
CHICAGO
Chicago
3.68
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Loss
72% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
CHW @ CHC
3 - 0
Aug 18, 2026
CHW @ CHC
3 - 4
Aug 17, 2026
CHW @ CHC
5 - 7
May 17, 2026
CHC @ CHW
8 - 9
May 16, 2026
CHC @ CHW
3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.374
OPS
▲
.826
0
Home Runs
▲
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+550.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+103.6% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Chicago: 2.3
OPS (Season)
+45.2%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Strikeouts (L5)
+43.9% more
Chicago: 10.2
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
5.7
5
CHW Score
3.7
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.5 / 8.2
18.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.5
4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 7.1
4.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.5 / 13.7
33.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.6 / 2.3
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
CHC
CHW
CHC
ML
49%
81-86
58%
93-68
56%
94-73
51%
82-79
ATS
59%
99-68
61%
97-63-1
56%
93-74
47%
75-85-1
TTL
58%
96-69-2
52%
81-74-6
51%
84-81-2
46%
72-83-6
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