ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
42-61 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
52-50 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 2.87 | -- | 3.0 | 4 |
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.87
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
3.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
4
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
40%
RANGERS
60%
ATHLETICS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ATH By 1-2 runs
10.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
5.5%
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.5%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.04
ATHLETICS
Texas
7
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Athletics
7
ATHLETICS
Texas
3
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.719
▲
OPS
.713
194
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+58.5% more
Texas: 3.4
vs
Athletics: 2.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+52.1% more
Texas: 10.0
vs
Athletics: 6.5
Home Runs (L5)
+40.9% more
Texas: 1.8
vs
Athletics: 1.3
Errors (L5)
+26.0% more
Texas: 0.4
vs
Athletics: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.0
1
TEX Score
7.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 7.6
4.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.3
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 6.5
10.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
14.4 / 14.1
9.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.1
0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
92-70
52%
84-78
61%
98-63
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
54%
84-73-5
55%
81-66-14
42%
66-90-5
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