DETROIT
TIGERSDET
59-39 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
49-49 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kumar Rocker
#80 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 3.30 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Kumar Rocker | None-None | 5.66 | -- | 6.1 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.30 Ldr
ERA
5.66
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
60%
RANGERS
40%
TIGERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
DET By 1-2 runs
7.5%
DET By 3-4 runs
3.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
15.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.21
DETROIT
Texas
7.35
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.1
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 5, 2026
DET @ TEX
6 - 3
Jul 4, 2026
DET @ TEX
3 - 0
Jul 2, 2026
DET @ TEX
4 - 10
May 3, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.713
181
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.0% more
Texas: 1.2
vs
Detroit: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+41.1% more
Texas: 14.1
vs
Detroit: 10.0
Hits (L5)
+17.7% more
Texas: 7.7
vs
Detroit: 6.5
Errors (L5)
+74.0% more
Detroit: 0.9
vs
Texas: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.2
1
TEX Score
7.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 6.5
4.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 8.8
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 10.0
7.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.7
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
DET
TEX
DET
ML
53%
86-76
54%
86-73
57%
91-70
54%
87-73
ATS
57%
92-70
64%
101-58
61%
98-63
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
78-70-14
46%
69-81-9
55%
81-66-14
46%
69-81-10
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