CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
44-48 | Road
4
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
31-63 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Benintendi
#23 | Designated Hitter| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 3.69 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Andrew Benintendi | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.69
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
65%
WHITE SOX
35%
GUARDIANS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.3%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.8%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
4.11
CLEVELAND
Chicago
2.18
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.696
OPS
▲
.826
162
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+73.7% more
Cleveland: 1.8
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+58.4% more
Cleveland: 10.4
vs
Chicago: 4.3
Total Bases (L5)
+26.1% more
Cleveland: 13.9
vs
Chicago: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
4.1
4
CHW Score
2.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 7.1
2.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.8
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
4.3 / 10.4
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 13.9
5.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.6
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
CLE
CHW
CLE
ML
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
99-68
58%
93-68
56%
93-74
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
55%
88-71-2
51%
84-81-2
43%
69-90-2
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