TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
54-39 | Road
7
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
39-56 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brendon Little
#54 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Little | None-None | 2.08 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 3.72 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.08 Ldr
ERA
3.72
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
67%
ATHLETICS
33%
BLUE JAYS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.3%
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
5.2
TORONTO
Athletics
4.21
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
TOR @ ATH
0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
TOR @ ATH
4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
TOR @ ATH
5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026
ATH @ TOR
2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026
ATH @ TOR
7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.692
OPS
▲
.719
152
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+13.5% more
Toronto: 9.6
vs
Athletics: 8.3
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.2%
Toronto: 24.7%
vs
Athletics: 24.5%
Home Runs (L5)
+70.9% more
Athletics: 1.8
vs
Toronto: 1.0
Home Runs (Season)
+27.6% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Toronto: 152.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
5.2
7
ATH Score
4.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 9.6
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.0
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 8.4
11.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
15.9 / 14.8
19.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.4 / 2.4
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
TOR
ATH
TOR
ML
59%
95-67
46%
74-87
54%
87-74
50%
80-80
ATS
52%
84-78
56%
90-71
50%
81-80
49%
79-81
TTL
54%
84-73-5
51%
80-76-5
42%
66-90-5
45%
70-85-5
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