TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
52-38 | Road
8
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
30-60 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ernie Clement
#22 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Burke | None-None | 4.40 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
4.40
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
73%
WHITE SOX
27%
BLUE JAYS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.8%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
5.12
TORONTO
Chicago
3.93
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CHW @ TOR
3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026
CHW @ TOR
0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026
CHW @ TOR
12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026
TOR @ CHW
0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026
TOR @ CHW
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.692
OPS
▲
.826
152
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.3% more
Toronto: 152.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+50.7% more
Toronto: 11.0
vs
Chicago: 5.4
Home Runs (L5)
+34.1% more
Toronto: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 0.8
Errors (L5)
+34.0% more
Toronto: 0.6
vs
Chicago: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
5.1
8
CHW Score
3.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.7 / 9.4
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
5.4 / 11.0
4.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 14.5
10.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.8
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TOR
CHW
TOR
ML
49%
81-86
46%
74-87
56%
94-73
50%
80-80
ATS
59%
99-68
56%
90-71
56%
93-74
49%
79-81
TTL
58%
96-69-2
51%
80-76-5
51%
84-81-2
45%
70-85-5
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