Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Blue Jays LAA @ TOR

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

43-45  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Jul 6 • 1:37 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

51-38  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
@
Brendon Little
STARTING PITCHER

Brendon Little

#54 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
Brendon Little None-None 2.18 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.18
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
📊
BLUE JAYS
58%
ANGELS --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 44%
Under 0 56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Toronto)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

48.3%

Blue Jays Cover

51.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.1%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.1%

TOR By 1-2 runs

18.7%

TOR By 3-4 runs

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5.25
LOS ANGELES
5.42
TORONTO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim Blue Jays (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 LAA @ TOR 6 - 1
May 9, 2026 LAA @ TOR 1 - 14
May 8, 2026 LAA @ TOR 0 - 2
Apr 22, 2026 TOR @ LAA 3 - 7
Apr 21, 2026 TOR @ LAA 4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Toronto TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .381
.679
OPS
▲ .692
154 ▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +51.0% more
Toronto: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.8
Walks (L5) +40.3% more
Toronto: 4.7 vs Los Angeles: 3.4
Total Bases (L5) +35.0% more
Toronto: 15.2 vs Los Angeles: 11.3
Hits (L5) +34.0% more
Toronto: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.3 2
TOR Score 5.4 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.0 / 7.5 8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.8 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 8.7 14.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 15.2 / 11.3 13.0 / 12.0
Walks 4.7 / 3.4 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TOR Advantage
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAA
TOR
LAA
ML
46% 74-87
59% 96-66
50% 80-80
55% 89-73
ATS
56% 90-71
60% 97-65
49% 79-81
51% 82-80
TTL
51% 80-76-5
53% 83-74-5
45% 70-85-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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