CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
30-59 | Road
4
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
20-69 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 3.98 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.98
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
64%
ROCKIES
36%
WHITE SOX
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
79%
Under 0
21%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
17.6%
COL By 1-2 runs
14.8%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.29
CHICAGO
Colorado
2.71
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
64% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rockies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
White Sox (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
COL @ CHW
2 - 4
Sep 26, 2026
COL @ CHW
9 - 6
Sep 25, 2026
COL @ CHW
1 - 6
Jul 6, 2025
CHW @ COL
4 - 6
Jul 5, 2025
CHW @ COL
10 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.826
▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+35.2% more
Chicago: 1.2
vs
Colorado: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Total Bases (L5)
+10.0% more
Chicago: 16.3
vs
Colorado: 14.7
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.3%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.3
4
COL Score
2.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.5 / 9.6
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.8 / 6.1
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 16.3
16.0 / 8.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.0
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CHW
COL
CHW
ML
60%
97-64
49%
81-86
55%
88-73
56%
94-73
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
99-68
52%
83-78
56%
93-74
TTL
60%
93-62-6
58%
96-69-2
50%
77-78-6
51%
84-81-2
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