LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
43-44 | Road
3
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
50-38 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 3.89 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Braydon Fisher | None-None | 2.39 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.89
ERA
Ldr 2.39
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
43%
BLUE JAYS
57%
ANGELS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
LAA By 1-2 runs
16.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
10.3%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.49
LOS ANGELES
Toronto
5.6
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Toronto
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
LAA @ TOR
6 - 1
May 9, 2026
LAA @ TOR
1 - 14
May 8, 2026
LAA @ TOR
0 - 2
Apr 22, 2026
TOR @ LAA
3 - 7
Apr 21, 2026
TOR @ LAA
4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.381
.679
OPS
▲
.692
154
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+81.0% more
Toronto: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 2.5
Home Runs (L5)
+20.6% more
Toronto: 1.5
vs
Los Angeles: 1.3
Hits (L5)
+10.6% more
Toronto: 8.6
vs
Los Angeles: 7.7
Total Bases (L5)
+10.5% more
Toronto: 14.8
vs
Los Angeles: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.5
3
TOR Score
5.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.6 / 7.7
13.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.3
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 9.0
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.8 / 13.4
16.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.6 / 2.5
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAA
TOR
LAA
ML
46%
74-87
59%
96-66
50%
80-80
55%
89-73
ATS
56%
90-71
60%
97-65
49%
79-81
51%
82-80
TTL
51%
80-76-5
53%
83-74-5
45%
70-85-5
52%
82-75-5
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