Home / MLB Projections MLB / White Sox @ Rockies CHW @ COL

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

28-59  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Jul 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

20-67  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 4.38 -- 1.0 2
Zach Agnos None-None 5.09 -- 1.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.38 Ldr ERA 5.09
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.2
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
61%
📊
ROCKIES
39%
WHITE SOX --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 84%
Under 0 16%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Colorado)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

44.7%

Rockies Cover

55.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

CHW By 1-2 runs

17.4%

CHW By 3-4 runs

12.0%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.2%

COL By 3-4 runs

15.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.07
CHICAGO
3.6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Loss
39% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.7
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 COL @ CHW 2 - 4
Sep 26, 2026 COL @ CHW 9 - 6
Sep 25, 2026 COL @ CHW 1 - 6
Jul 6, 2025 CHW @ COL 4 - 6
Jul 5, 2025 CHW @ COL 10 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Colorado COL
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.826 ▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17900.0% more
Colorado: 180.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5) +68.4% more
Colorado: 10.6 vs Chicago: 6.3
Total Bases (L5) +53.7% more
Colorado: 15.3 vs Chicago: 10.0
Errors (L5) +48.0% more
Colorado: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.1 3
COL Score 3.6 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.4 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.6 / 6.3 5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.3 / 7.6 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 15.3 / 10.0 7.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.2 / 3.4 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CHW
COL
CHW
ML
60% 97-64
49% 81-86
55% 88-73
56% 94-73
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 99-68
52% 83-78
56% 93-74
TTL
60% 93-62-6
58% 96-69-2
50% 77-78-6
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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