Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Athletics SF @ ATH

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

47-41  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Jul 4 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

36-53  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Jung Hoo Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Jung Hoo Lee

#51 | Right Field
@
Jack Perkins
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Perkins

#50 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jung Hoo Lee None-None -- -- -- --
Jack Perkins None-None 1.93 -- 3.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 1.93
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 3.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 5
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
63%
📊
ATHLETICS
37%
GIANTS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 67%
Under 0 33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

68.2%

Athletics Cover

31.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

18.2%

ATH By 1-2 runs

13.9%

ATH By 3-4 runs

8.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4.63
SAN FRANCISCO
2.74
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.4
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 25, 2026 ATH @ SF 9 - 6
Jun 24, 2026 ATH @ SF 1 - 2
Jun 23, 2026 ATH @ SF 1 - 3
May 17, 2026 SF @ ATH 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 SF @ ATH 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.706
OPS
▲ .719
178
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +16.6% more
San Francisco: 8.9 vs Athletics: 7.4
Hits (L5) +11.6% more
San Francisco: 9.0 vs Athletics: 8.0
Home Runs (L5) +145.0% more
Athletics: 1.9 vs San Francisco: 0.4
Errors (L5) +35.0% more
Athletics: 0.8 vs San Francisco: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.6 2
ATH Score 2.7 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.5 2.0 / 3.0
Hits 8.0 / 9.0 12.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.9 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.4 / 8.9 11.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 15.2 / 13.4 26.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.2 / 2.9 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SF
ATH
SF
ML
59% 95-67
49% 79-81
54% 87-74
53% 85-75
ATS
52% 84-78
62% 100-60
50% 81-80
52% 83-77
TTL
54% 84-73-5
55% 82-68-10
42% 66-90-5
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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