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TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

42-37  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, Jun 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

40-38  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Myles Straw
STARTING PITCHER

Myles Straw

#3 | Center Field
@
Tanner Bibee
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Bibee

#28 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Myles Straw None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Bibee None-None 3.90 -- 6.0 7
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.90
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 6.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 7
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
100%
📊
GUARDIANS
0%
BLUE JAYS --
GUARDIANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Cleveland)
Blue JaysTOR (-3.5) 0 GuardiansCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jays Cover

48.6%

Guardians Cover

51.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

TOR By 1-2 runs

18.2%

TOR By 3-4 runs

13.2%

CLE By 1-2 runs

18.7%

CLE By 3-4 runs

14.0%

AI Model Projected Score
3.81
TORONTO
3.95
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
4
TORONTO
3
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Guardians Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Guardians (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim Blue Jays (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 3, 2026 TOR @ CLE 6 - 3
Sep 2, 2026 TOR @ CLE 11 - 0
Sep 1, 2026 TOR @ CLE 1 - 6
Apr 26, 2026 CLE @ TOR 2 - 4
Apr 25, 2026 CLE @ TOR 3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto TOR
vs
Cleveland CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲ 4.19
.247 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .316
.381 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.692
OPS
▲ .696
152
Home Runs
▲ 162
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +59.0% more
Cleveland: 1.4 vs Toronto: 0.8
Home Runs (L5) +16.0% more
Cleveland: 1.2 vs Toronto: 1.0
Home Runs (Season) +6.6% more
Cleveland: 162.0 vs Toronto: 152.0
Runs per Game (Season) +4.8% more
Cleveland: 4.2 vs Toronto: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 3.8 6
CLE Score 4.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.4 / 0.8 4.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 9.4 2.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 8.6 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.6 / 13.8 3.0 / 6.0
Walks 4.1 / 5.1 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CLE Advantage
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
CLE Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
TOR
CLE
TOR
ML
54% 87-74
46% 74-87
49% 80-82
50% 80-80
ATS
58% 93-68
56% 90-71
59% 95-67
49% 79-81
TTL
55% 88-71-2
51% 80-76-5
43% 69-90-2
45% 70-85-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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