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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

24-53  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Jun 22 • 1:37 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

41-35  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Braydon Fisher
STARTING PITCHER

Braydon Fisher

#63 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 3.00 -- 1.0 1
Braydon Fisher None-None 2.33 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 ERA Ldr 2.33
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
📊
BLUE JAYS
0%
WHITE SOX --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Toronto)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

27.9%

Blue Jays Cover

72.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.0%

TOR By 1-2 runs

19.3%

TOR By 3-4 runs

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.42
CHICAGO
5.76
TORONTO
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim Blue Jays (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 CHW @ TOR 3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026 CHW @ TOR 0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026 CHW @ TOR 12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026 TOR @ CHW 0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026 TOR @ CHW 3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Toronto TOR
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.826 ▲
OPS
.692
1
Home Runs
▲ 152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +15100.0% more
Toronto: 152.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +76.0% more
Toronto: 1.5 vs Chicago: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5) +58.8% more
Toronto: 8.7 vs Chicago: 5.5
Hits (L5) +52.8% more
Toronto: 9.4 vs Chicago: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.4 4
TOR Score 5.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.4 / 6.1 8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 5.5 12.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 15.2 / 10.9 11.0 / 7.0
Walks 3.9 / 3.1 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHW
TOR
CHW
ML
46% 74-87
49% 81-86
50% 80-80
56% 94-73
ATS
56% 90-71
59% 99-68
49% 79-81
56% 93-74
TTL
51% 80-76-5
58% 96-69-2
45% 70-85-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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