CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
24-52 | Road
1
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
40-35 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Myles Straw
#3 | Center Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Myles Straw | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CHW By 1-2 runs
12.2%
CHW By 3-4 runs
6.6%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TOR By 3-4 runs
19.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.55
CHICAGO
Toronto
6.03
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CHW @ TOR
3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026
CHW @ TOR
0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026
CHW @ TOR
12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026
TOR @ CHW
0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026
TOR @ CHW
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Toronto
TOR
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.826
▲
OPS
.692
1
Home Runs
▲
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15100.0% more
Toronto: 152.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+39.1% more
Toronto: 10.0
vs
Chicago: 7.2
Home Runs (L5)
+12.3% more
Toronto: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 1.1
Errors (L5)
+73.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
Toronto: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.6
1
TOR Score
6.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.2
12.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.1
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 7.2
6.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 14.4
19.0 / 4.0
Walks
4.3 / 4.2
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHW
TOR
CHW
ML
46%
74-87
49%
81-86
50%
80-80
56%
94-73
ATS
56%
90-71
59%
99-68
49%
79-81
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
80-76-5
58%
96-69-2
45%
70-85-5
51%
84-81-2
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