CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
23-52 | Road
7
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
40-34 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brendon Little
#54 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 3.60 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Brendon Little | None-None | 2.14 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.60
ERA
Ldr 2.14
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CHW By 1-2 runs
11.2%
CHW By 3-4 runs
5.9%
TOR By 1-2 runs
18.8%
TOR By 3-4 runs
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.27
CHICAGO
Toronto
6.06
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CHW @ TOR
3 - 0
Jul 18, 2026
CHW @ TOR
0 - 1
Jul 17, 2026
CHW @ TOR
12 - 4
Apr 5, 2026
TOR @ CHW
0 - 3
Apr 4, 2026
TOR @ CHW
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Toronto
TOR
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.826
▲
OPS
.692
1
Home Runs
▲
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15100.0% more
Toronto: 152.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+121.0% more
Toronto: 1.8
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+38.2% more
Toronto: 16.0
vs
Chicago: 11.5
Hits (L5)
+10.1% more
Toronto: 8.6
vs
Chicago: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.3
7
TOR Score
6.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.6 / 7.8
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 0.6
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 7.8
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 11.5
8.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.9 / 5.3
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHW
TOR
CHW
ML
46%
74-87
49%
81-86
50%
80-80
56%
94-73
ATS
56%
90-71
59%
99-68
49%
79-81
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
80-76-5
58%
96-69-2
45%
70-85-5
51%
84-81-2
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