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ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

38-35  |  Road

8
FINAL
Thu, Jun 19 • 2:15 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

23-50  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Jordan Walker
STARTING PITCHER

Jordan Walker

#18 | Right Field
@
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jordan Walker None-None -- -- -- --
Grant Taylor None-None 4.50 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.50
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
70%
📊
WHITE SOX
30%
CARDINALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 59%
Under 0 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
CardinalsSTL (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

60.0%

White Sox Cover

40.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

STL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.53
ST. LOUIS
3.52
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
5
ST. LOUIS
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
70% Win Prob
B
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim Cardinals (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 CHW @ STL 1 - 3
Sep 12, 2026 CHW @ STL 6 - 5
Sep 11, 2026 CHW @ STL 3 - 7
Jun 19, 2025 STL @ CHW 8 - 6
Jun 17, 2025 STL @ CHW 12 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis STL
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.44
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.691
OPS
▲ .826
167 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
St. Louis: 167.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +72.1% more
St. Louis: 1.4 vs Chicago: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +32.4% more
St. Louis: 15.3 vs Chicago: 10.3
Hits (L5) +26.6% more
St. Louis: 9.9 vs Chicago: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 4.5 8
CHW Score 3.5 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.1 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.2 / 9.9 9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.2 / 7.8 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.3 / 15.3 14.0 / 11.0
Walks 4.9 / 1.4 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
STL
CHW
STL
ML
49% 81-86
53% 85-74
56% 94-73
52% 84-77
ATS
59% 99-68
56% 89-70
56% 93-74
53% 85-76
TTL
58% 96-69-2
46% 68-81-10
51% 84-81-2
50% 76-75-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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