Home / MLB Projections MLB / Guardians @ Giants CLE @ SF

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

36-35  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Jun 18 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

41-32  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Tim Herrin
STARTING PITCHER

Tim Herrin

#29 | Relief Pitcher
@
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tim Herrin None-None 4.01 -- 1.0 --
Camilo Doval None-None 1.64 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.01 ERA Ldr 1.64
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
GUARDIANS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (San Francisco)
GuardiansCLE (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Guardians Cover

35.2%

Giants Cover

64.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

CLE By 1-2 runs

14.9%

CLE By 3-4 runs

9.1%

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.53
CLEVELAND
4.05
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
CLEVELAND
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 SF @ CLE 2 - 5
Aug 19, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 0
Aug 18, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 8
Jun 19, 2025 CLE @ SF 1 - 2
Jun 18, 2025 CLE @ SF 4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland CLE
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.19 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.316 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.696
OPS
▲ .706
162
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +40.8% more
San Francisco: 8.6 vs Cleveland: 6.1
Errors (L5) +32.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Cleveland: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +26.4% more
San Francisco: 13.6 vs Cleveland: 10.8
Home Runs (Season) +9.9% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Cleveland: 162.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 2.5 4
SF Score 4.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.6 / 6.1 6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.3 / 7.8 10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.6 / 10.8 9.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.9 / 4.6 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CLE
SF
CLE
ML
49% 79-81
54% 87-74
53% 85-75
49% 80-82
ATS
62% 100-60
58% 93-68
52% 83-77
59% 95-67
TTL
55% 82-68-10
55% 88-71-2
46% 68-81-11
43% 69-90-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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