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ST. LOUIS

CARDINALSSTL

37-35  |  Road

12
FINAL
Tue, Jun 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

23-49  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Riley O'Brien
STARTING PITCHER

Riley O'Brien

#61 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Riley O'Brien None-None 3.18 -- 2.0 1
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.18 ERA --
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
WHITE SOX
0%
CARDINALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Chicago)
CardinalsSTL (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

49.2%

White Sox Cover

50.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

STL By 1-2 runs

18.3%

STL By 3-4 runs

13.3%

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

13.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.01
ST. LOUIS
4.09
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
ST. LOUIS
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim Cardinals (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 CHW @ STL 1 - 3
Sep 12, 2026 CHW @ STL 6 - 5
Sep 11, 2026 CHW @ STL 3 - 7
Jun 19, 2025 STL @ CHW 8 - 6
Jun 17, 2025 STL @ CHW 12 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis STL
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.44
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.691
OPS
▲ .826
167 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +124.8% more
Chicago: 4.8 vs St. Louis: 2.1
Errors (L5) +41.0% more
Chicago: 0.6 vs St. Louis: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season) +35.1% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs St. Louis: 4.4
OPS (Season) +13.5%
Chicago: 82.6% vs St. Louis: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 4.0 12
CHW Score 4.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 8.3 6.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.0 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 6.8 / 9.2 5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 11.5 / 12.4 8.0 / 21.0
Walks 4.8 / 2.1 5.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9% Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
STL
CHW
STL
ML
49% 81-86
53% 85-74
56% 94-73
52% 84-77
ATS
59% 99-68
56% 89-70
56% 93-74
53% 85-76
TTL
58% 96-69-2
46% 68-81-10
51% 84-81-2
50% 76-75-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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