Home / MLB Projections MLB / Guardians @ Giants CLE @ SF

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

35-35  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Jun 17 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

41-31  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Hunter Gaddis
STARTING PITCHER

Hunter Gaddis

#33 | Relief Pitcher
@
Christian Koss
STARTING PITCHER

Christian Koss

#50 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hunter Gaddis None-None 1.84 -- 1.1 1
Christian Koss None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.84 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
GUARDIANS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (San Francisco)
GuardiansCLE (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Guardians Cover

31.9%

Giants Cover

68.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

CLE By 1-2 runs

13.9%

CLE By 3-4 runs

8.1%

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.45
CLEVELAND
4.33
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
CLEVELAND
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 SF @ CLE 2 - 5
Aug 19, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 0
Aug 18, 2026 SF @ CLE 1 - 8
Jun 19, 2025 CLE @ SF 1 - 2
Jun 18, 2025 CLE @ SF 4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland CLE
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.19 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.316 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.696
OPS
▲ .706
162
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +49.5% more
San Francisco: 14.4 vs Cleveland: 9.6
Home Runs (L5) +46.0% more
San Francisco: 1.3 vs Cleveland: 0.8
Hits (L5) +28.5% more
San Francisco: 7.9 vs Cleveland: 6.2
Walks (L5) +11.3% more
San Francisco: 4.8 vs Cleveland: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 2.5 3
SF Score 4.3 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.3 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 6.2 10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 6.7 6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 9.6 12.0 / 13.0
Walks 4.8 / 4.3 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
86-79-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2% Total +/-: +0.5
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CLE
SF
CLE
ML
49% 79-81
54% 87-74
53% 85-75
49% 80-82
ATS
62% 100-60
58% 93-68
52% 83-77
59% 95-67
TTL
55% 82-68-10
55% 88-71-2
46% 68-81-11
43% 69-90-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 3 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 11 minutes ago
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom
players_bio 5 hours, 49 minutes ago
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
yahoo 6 hours, 1 minute ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 17 hours, 47 minutes ago