Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Orioles LAA @ BAL

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

33-36  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Jun 15 • 1:35 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

ORIOLESBAL

29-40  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Yennier Cano
STARTING PITCHER

Yennier Cano

#78 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Yennier Cano None-None 3.75 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.75
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
ORIOLES
0%
ANGELS --
ORIOLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Baltimore)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 OriolesBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

36.1%

Orioles Cover

63.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.2%

LAA By 3-4 runs

9.4%

BAL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

BAL By 3-4 runs

17.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.43
LOS ANGELES
4.85
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Orioles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orioles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Orioles (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim Orioles (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 6, 2026 LAA @ BAL 4 - 1
Aug 5, 2026 LAA @ BAL 2 - 5
Aug 4, 2026 LAA @ BAL 1 - 3
Jun 24, 2026 BAL @ LAA 6 - 7
Jun 23, 2026 BAL @ LAA 1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Baltimore BAL
162 ▲
Games Played
161
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
.234
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .396
.679
OPS
▲ .711
154
Home Runs
▲ 199
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +49.0% more
Baltimore: 10.7 vs Los Angeles: 7.2
Home Runs (Season) +29.2% more
Baltimore: 199.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +16.6% more
Baltimore: 15.3 vs Los Angeles: 13.1
Walks (L5) +14.9% more
Baltimore: 2.9 vs Los Angeles: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.4 2
BAL Score 4.9 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 8.7 / 7.9 12.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 1.5 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.7 / 7.2 8.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 15.3 / 13.1 24.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.9 / 2.5 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BAL Advantage
79-82-0 (49.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BAL Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
LAA
BAL
LAA
ML
53% 83-73
59% 96-66
57% 90-69
55% 89-73
ATS
61% 95-60-1
60% 97-65
57% 90-68-1
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 81-70-5
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 2 hours, 31 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 8 hours, 20 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 14 hours, 27 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 20 hours, 8 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 20 hours, 31 minutes ago