Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Orioles LAA @ BAL

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

33-34  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Jun 13 • 7:08 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

ORIOLESBAL

27-40  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
@
Yennier Cano
STARTING PITCHER

Yennier Cano

#78 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
Yennier Cano None-None 3.91 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.91
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
ORIOLES
0%
ANGELS --
ORIOLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Baltimore)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 OriolesBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

42.3%

Orioles Cover

57.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.8%

LAA By 3-4 runs

11.3%

BAL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

BAL By 3-4 runs

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.15
LOS ANGELES
4.93
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Orioles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orioles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Orioles (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim Orioles (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 6, 2026 LAA @ BAL 4 - 1
Aug 5, 2026 LAA @ BAL 2 - 5
Aug 4, 2026 LAA @ BAL 1 - 3
Jun 24, 2026 BAL @ LAA 6 - 7
Jun 23, 2026 BAL @ LAA 1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Baltimore BAL
162 ▲
Games Played
161
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.234
Avg (AVG)
.234
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .396
.679
OPS
▲ .711
154
Home Runs
▲ 199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +29.2% more
Baltimore: 199.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +13.9% more
Baltimore: 13.7 vs Los Angeles: 12.0
Runs per Game (Season) +10.4% more
Baltimore: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (L5) +8.7% more
Baltimore: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.2 0
BAL Score 4.9 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.5 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.3 / 7.8 6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.2 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 8.7 15.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 13.7 / 12.0 13.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.2 / 2.6 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BAL Advantage
79-82-0 (49.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
BAL Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
LAA
BAL
LAA
ML
53% 83-73
59% 96-66
57% 90-69
55% 89-73
ATS
61% 95-60-1
60% 97-65
57% 90-68-1
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 81-70-5
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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