CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
23-46 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
33-36 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Cole Winn | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
RANGERS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
CHW By 1-2 runs
17.2%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.8%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.3
CHICAGO
Texas
4.9
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
TEX @ CHW
4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026
TEX @ CHW
7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026
TEX @ CHW
11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026
CHW @ TEX
4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026
CHW @ TEX
0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Texas
TEX
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.826
▲
OPS
.713
1
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18200.0% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+206.0% more
Texas: 2.8
vs
Chicago: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+73.3% more
Texas: 22.5
vs
Chicago: 13.0
Hits (L5)
+53.2% more
Texas: 11.9
vs
Chicago: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.3
1
TEX Score
4.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.9 / 7.8
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
2.8 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 7.1
9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
22.5 / 13.0
12.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.7 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
CHW
TEX
CHW
ML
53%
86-76
49%
81-86
57%
91-70
56%
94-73
ATS
57%
92-70
59%
99-68
61%
98-63
56%
93-74
TTL
53%
78-70-14
58%
96-69-2
55%
81-66-14
51%
84-81-2
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