ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
26-44 | Road
6
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
34-35 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Nick Kurtz
#16 | First Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 2.16 | -- | 0.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.16
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
ROYALS
100%
ATHLETICS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.8%
KC By 1-2 runs
15.8%
KC By 3-4 runs
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.11
ATHLETICS
Kansas City
1.92
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
ATH @ KC
2 - 6
Aug 19, 2026
ATH @ KC
7 - 9
Aug 18, 2026
ATH @ KC
3 - 4
Aug 17, 2026
ATH @ KC
5 - 9
Apr 30, 2026
KC @ ATH
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.402
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.719
▲
OPS
.718
194
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+33.9% more
Athletics: 1.2
vs
Kansas City: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+15.6% more
Athletics: 14.1
vs
Kansas City: 11.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.3% more
Athletics: 9.2
vs
Kansas City: 7.8
Home Runs (Season)
+12.4% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Kansas City: 170.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.1
6
KC Score
1.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 7.8
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 9.2
8.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 14.1
11.0 / 17.0
Walks
4.1 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
ATH
KC
ATH
ML
55%
89-72
59%
95-67
56%
90-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
91-70
52%
84-78
58%
93-67
50%
81-80
TTL
58%
90-64-7
54%
84-73-5
54%
83-70-7
42%
66-90-5
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