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BALTIMORE

ORIOLESBAL

26-37  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Jun 8 • 4:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

25-41  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Yennier Cano
STARTING PITCHER

Yennier Cano

#78 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jacob Lopez
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Lopez

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Yennier Cano None-None 4.29 -- 1.0 --
Jacob Lopez None-None 6.00 -- 4.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
4.29 Ldr ERA 6.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
ORIOLES
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
ORIOLES --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Baltimore)
OriolesBAL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orioles Cover

62.2%

Athletics Cover

37.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around BAL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

BAL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

BAL By 3-4 runs

16.9%

ATH By 1-2 runs

15.7%

ATH By 3-4 runs

9.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.03
BALTIMORE
3.79
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
BALTIMORE
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Orioles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Orioles (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 BAL @ ATH 8 - 5
Aug 29, 2026 BAL @ ATH 5 - 3
Aug 28, 2026 BAL @ ATH 4 - 3
May 10, 2026 ATH @ BAL 1 - 2
May 9, 2026 ATH @ BAL 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Baltimore BAL
vs
Athletics ATH
161
Games Played
▲ 162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.711
OPS
▲ .719
199 ▲
Home Runs
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +55.4% more
Baltimore: 1.7 vs Athletics: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5) +27.0% more
Baltimore: 11.2 vs Athletics: 8.2
Runs per Game (Season) +3.4% more
Baltimore: 4.5 vs Athletics: 4.3
Home Runs (Season) +2.5% more
Baltimore: 199.0 vs Athletics: 194.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 5.0 1
ATH Score 3.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.3 1.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.7 / 8.6 9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.7 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 11.2 9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 14.3 / 15.3 14.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.7 / 3.6 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL Advantage
79-82-0 (49.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.5
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
BAL
ATH
BAL
ML
59% 95-67
53% 83-73
54% 87-74
57% 90-69
ATS
52% 84-78
61% 95-60-1
50% 81-80
57% 90-68-1
TTL
54% 84-73-5
54% 81-70-5
42% 66-90-5
51% 78-75-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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