KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
33-31 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
21-43 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Cruz
#64 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Cruz | None-None | 1.54 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.54 Ldr
ERA
9.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
ROYALS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-2 runs
19.5%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.1%
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
3.96
KANSAS CITY
Chicago
3.04
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim
Royals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
CHW @ KC
9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026
CHW @ KC
4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026
CHW @ KC
14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026
KC @ CHW
5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
KC @ CHW
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.718
OPS
▲
.826
170
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Kansas City: 170.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+86.3% more
Kansas City: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+58.4% more
Kansas City: 1.3
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+42.0% more
Kansas City: 4.6
vs
Chicago: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
4.0
1
CHW Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 9.3
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.3
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 6.6
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 14.4
18.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.7 / 4.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
49%
81-86
55%
89-72
56%
94-73
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
91-70
56%
93-74
58%
93-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
58%
90-64-7
51%
84-81-2
54%
83-70-7
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