Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mets @ Rockies NYM @ COL

NEW YORK

METSNYM

40-24  |  Road

8
FINAL
Sat, Jun 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

12-51  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Jared Young
STARTING PITCHER

Jared Young

#29 | First Base
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jared Young None-None -- -- -- --
Juan Mejia None-None 2.87 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.87
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
METS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
METS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
MetsNYM (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mets Cover

77.7%

Rockies Cover

22.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)

NYM By 1-2 runs

18.3%

NYM By 3-4 runs

19.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

10.5%

COL By 3-4 runs

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.85
NEW YORK
1.8
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mets (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.1
D
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 7, 2026 NYM @ COL 2 - 6
May 6, 2026 NYM @ COL 10 - 5
May 4, 2026 NYM @ COL 4 - 2
Apr 26, 2026 COL @ NYM 3 - 1
Apr 24, 2026 COL @ NYM 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYM
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.705
OPS
▲ .739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +36.8% more
New York: 1.4 vs Colorado: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5) +14.1% more
New York: 8.7 vs Colorado: 7.5
Hits (L5) +12.9% more
New York: 8.7 vs Colorado: 7.6
Home Runs (Season) +11.8% more
New York: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYM Score 4.9 8
COL Score 1.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.6 / 8.7 10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.4 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 8.7 5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 14.9 15.0 / 22.0
Walks 3.0 / 3.0 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM Advantage
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYM
COL
NYM
ML
60% 97-64
50% 79-80
55% 88-73
48% 76-83
ATS
60% 97-64
58% 93-66
52% 83-78
49% 78-81
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 80-66-13
50% 77-78-6
51% 74-72-13
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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