ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
2-0-0 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
1-0-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.04 | 0.857 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.00 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.04
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BLUES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
STL By 1 goal
10.1%
STL By 2-3 goals
7.0%
VGK By 1 goal
19.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
32.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1.7
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
3.04
VEGAS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025
STL @ VGK
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+47.3% more
Vegas: 30.1
vs
St. Louis: 20.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.7% more
Vegas: 17.9
vs
St. Louis: 15.8
Power Play % (L5)
+12.5%
Vegas: 28.6%
vs
St. Louis: 16.2%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.3% more
St. Louis: 31.7
vs
Vegas: 25.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.7
3
VGK Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 15.8
15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 53.6
47.2 / 52.8
Hits
30.1 / 20.4
10.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
28.6 / 16.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 31.7
28.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
7.2 / 6.7
4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
STL
VGK
STL
ML
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
TTL
20%
1-4
33%
1-2-1
40%
2-3
33%
1-2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
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Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points