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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

4-2-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 22 • 7:30 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

2-3-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Kirill Marchenko
GOALTENDER

Kirill Marchenko

#86 | Right Wing
@
Zach Werenski
GOALTENDER

Zach Werenski

#8 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kirill Marchenko None-None -- -- --
Zach Werenski None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Toronto)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

65.5%

Blue Jackets Cover

34.5%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

TOR By 1 goal

19.6%

TOR By 2-3 goals

27.5%

CBJ By 1 goal

13.3%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.62
TORONTO
2.82
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
TORONTO
5
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 TOR @ CBJ 2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025 TOR @ CBJ 3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 0 - 5
Jan 22, 2025 CBJ @ TOR 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.1% more
Toronto: 16.7 vs Columbus: 13.5
Hits (L5) +11.7% more
Toronto: 22.5 vs Columbus: 19.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.8% more
Toronto: 30.7 vs Columbus: 27.4
Power Play % (L5) +1.8%
Toronto: 15.9% vs Columbus: 14.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 3.6 2
CBJ Score 2.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 16.7 14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 51.7 / 48.7 54.3 / 45.7
Hits 19.9 / 22.5 19.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 1413.0 / 1594.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.4 / 30.7 38.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 7.9 / 6.5 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
TOR
ML
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 1-1
0% 0-4
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 1-1
100% 4-0
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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