Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 1.00 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
OILERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
EDM By 1 goal
16.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
16.6%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.3%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
20.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.24
EDMONTON
Columbus
2.44
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Edmonton
5
EDMONTON
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
EDM @ CBJ
4 - 5
Nov 10, 2025
CBJ @ EDM
4 - 5
Dec 5, 2024
CBJ @ EDM
3 - 6
Oct 28, 2024
EDM @ CBJ
1 - 6
Mar 7, 2024
EDM @ CBJ
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+76.3% more
Columbus: 21.4
vs
Edmonton: 12.1
Takeaways (L5)
+26.8% more
Columbus: 6.6
vs
Edmonton: 5.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.0% more
Edmonton: 37.0
vs
Columbus: 30.0
Power Play % (L5)
+9.5%
Edmonton: 15.7%
vs
Columbus: 6.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.2
1
CBJ Score
2.4
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 14.7
13.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 50.9
38.2 / 61.8
Hits
21.4 / 12.1
20.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
6.3 / 15.7
25.0 / 16.7
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 37.0
25.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 5.2
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
EDM
CBJ
EDM
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
25%
1-3