COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
5-4-0 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
7-2-0 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Zach Werenski
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CBJ By 1 goal
19.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
24.2%
WSH By 1 goal
15.0%
WSH By 2-3 goals
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
4.34
COLUMBUS
Washington
3.84
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+14.3% more
Columbus: 4.9
vs
Washington: 4.2
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Columbus: 22.2%
vs
Washington: 7.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+34.6% more
Washington: 34.6
vs
Columbus: 25.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.3% more
Washington: 17.3
vs
Columbus: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
4.3
2
WSH Score
3.8
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 14.9
30.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 47.0
39.7 / 60.3
Hits
22.7 / 20.0
14.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
794.0 / 2223.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.6 / 25.7
22.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.9
4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
ML
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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