VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
8-3-0 | Road
4
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
6-6-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 2.00 | 0.931 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.931
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
OILERS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
VGK By 1 goal
14.8%
VGK By 2-3 goals
13.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.2%
EDM By 2-3 goals
24.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
1.67
VEGAS
Edmonton
2.2
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
VGK @ EDM
5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026
EDM @ VGK
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
VGK @ EDM
3 - 4
May 14, 2025
EDM @ VGK
1 - 0
May 12, 2025
VGK @ EDM
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.0% more
Vegas: 9.2
vs
Edmonton: 5.2
Hits (L5)
+38.5% more
Vegas: 19.9
vs
Edmonton: 12.2
Power Play % (L5)
+6.9%
Vegas: 19.1%
vs
Edmonton: 12.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
1.7
4
EDM Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 14.5
8.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 51.4
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
12.2 / 19.9
29.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
12.2 / 19.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 32.7
29.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 9.2
8.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VGK
EDM
VGK
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
